These dynamics are contributing to deteriorating food security and an escalating nutrition crisis. Access to safe drinking water is also becoming increasingly constrained. The Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan notes that drought - when combined with economic decline and large-scale population returns - is likely to act as a catalyst for multi sector humanitarian emergencies in 2026.
It is into this context that forcibly returned Afghans are arriving. In 2025 alone, over 2.61 million Afghans were compelled to return, often without documentation, assets, or access to support networks. Many have lived for decades in Pakistan or Iran, or were born there, making “return” a complex experience.
Against this backdrop of intersecting crises, there is no single sector solution. Both returnees and host communities face interlinked vulnerabilities that require a holistic, integrated humanitarian response that simultaneously addresses basic needs, protection risks, and livelihoods, strengthening resilience and enabling pathways towards longer term self-reliance.