New report: Displacement is projected to increase by more than 5.4 million people in the coming two years

“The number of people being displaced is increasing by the minute. We need to act now otherwise the situation will go from bad to worse. At the same time, we are unfortunately, at a global level, witnessing a huge gap between increasing humanitarian needs and the available funding with a 23 billion USD discrepancy in 2022 – the highest gap ever”, says Charlotte Slente, Secretary General of the Danish Refugee Council (DRC). 

The report highlights how displacement tends to occur in situations where there is a crisis in governance and where there are problems in several areas, such as ongoing conflicts and violence against civilians, exacerbated by the challenges of climate change and environmental degradation. As a result, in the future, the number of displaced people is expected to increase, especially in these complex situations with several ongoing crises. 

“We need to face the fact that the crises are not going away on their own. This is our third Forecast report, and it shows that the number of displaced persons is increasing very rapidly along with the number of conflicts and climate change related problems. As the recent earthquake in Turkey/Syria evidenced, displaced populations are particularly vulnerable to natural hazard. There is a need for additional funding to address the adverse impacts of climate change and environmental degradation. If we want to respond to and reduce displacement, we need to address the triggers and root causes which lead to displacement - and which keep people in displacement. Conflict resolution and peace-building efforts must be accelerated”, says Charlotte Slente. 

On top of shrinking funding and growing humanitarian needs, the operating environment for humanitarian actors is becoming more complex and characterized by reduced access and increased response costs. In the countries with the highest cost of responding to people in need of humanitarian assistance, the number of displaced people is estimated to grow to a larger extent than in countries with low response costs. 

“We need to ensure better and more equal responsibility-sharing for the world's displaced. The report makes it very clear that displacement disproportionally affects poorer countries and areas that already have enough problems to deal with. A fundamental change of approach is therefore required to address the needs which arise as a result and to accelerate efforts to reduce and prevent the various causes that trigger displacement. 'Foresight' is useful, as it allows us to prevent and intervene with help, as early as possible. But it requires that the international community steps up with extra support to the countries that are most affected by displacement”, says Charlotte Slente.